It’s a truism in Indian politics that ruling events have a tendency to do properly in bypolls as they management the executive equipment. Nevertheless, it might be a mistake to dismiss victories in two particular meeting segments that the BJP has received within the final one yr in Karnataka.
Whereas it’s true that since November 2019 there have been 17 bypolls within the state and BJP has received 14. Nevertheless, it’s the saffron social gathering’s victory within the KR Pete seat final yr and the Sira seat now that basically stands out. The explanations for which can be pretty simple.
The BJP has for lengthy been seen as a ‘Lingayat’ social gathering, primarily due to the management of Yediyurappa, who belongs to the neighborhood. With a 17 per cent Lingayat inhabitants within the state, the social gathering additionally has benefited from that notion.
The second is that the BJP has been a North Karnataka social gathering with practically 81 of the 104 MLAs that received within the 2018 meeting polls coming from that a part of the state.
It has traditionally been weak in what’s seen because the ‘Outdated Mysuru area’ – comprising the districts which have been prior to now dominated by the Mysuru Wodeyar dynasty – and which by the way can also be dominated by the Vokkaliga neighborhood.
Vokkaligas, at round 13 per cent of the state inhabitants, will not be solely the second largest neighborhood however they’ve largely been proof against the charms of the BJP regardless of the social gathering’s greatest efforts. The JDS has at all times championed the neighborhood’s trigger and each time the social gathering has fallen out of favour, Vokkaligas have tended to again the Congress.
For the BJP, which fell 10 seats in need of a easy majority in 2008 and in 2018, the necessity to increase its social base particularly within the Outdated Mysuru area and amongst the Vokkaligas is essential if it desires to dominate the state politics.
Which is the place, the wins in KR Pete of Mandya district final yr and Sira in Tumakuru now’s so essential. Each are Vokkaliga dominated and are within the outdated Mysuru area. Each are seen as bastions of Janata Dal (Secular) and the facility alternated between the regional social gathering and the Congress.
In each the battles, the BJP entrusted the duty of successful these seats to the younger social gathering vp Vijayendra. When final yr, KR Pete, the place JD(S) turncoat Narayana Gowda who helped BJP topple the Congress-JDS coalition stood for bypolls, the JD(S) vowed revenge. Vijavendra ensured victory of Narayan Gowda towards odds but it surely was dismissed as a fluke.
Now, Vijayendra has repeated the feat in Sira the place the BJP had by no means even come second and principally misplaced deposit in all earlier polls. By making certain victory of its candidate Rajesh Gowda, Vijayendra has proved that he’s any person to observe in Karnataka politics.
It has helped that he’s the son of chief minister Yediyurappa. At 45, he’s very younger by political requirements, articulate and has bought his father’s knack of taking folks alongside.
Whereas his elder brother BY Raghavendra, the MP from Shivamogga, is seen as extra reserved, Vijayendra is seen as extra accessible by the social gathering staff and public.
Given the political acumen he has displayed until now, most analysts, and even political opponents, consider that it’s Vijayendra who would be the heir of Yediyurappa’s political legacy. Vijayendra has, in a current chat with HT, dismissed such hypothesis, saying that the household is united and that there isn’t a inner rivalry.
However it is usually more and more clear that Vijayendra is making an attempt to carve out a distinct segment for himself and step out of his father’s shadow. Vijayendra just isn’t with out his share of controversies, with the opposition accusing him of being the tremendous CM and in addition being concerned in corruption, which he dismisses because the “value I pay for being the bridge between the CM and folks in addition to social gathering staff”.
There’s a rising clamour for Vijayendra to contest the Basva Kalyan bypoll which is more likely to happen within the subsequent few months. The incumbent Congress MLA Narayana Rao handed away as a consequence of Covid and the BJP must discover a candidate for the seat.
Within the 2018 meeting ballot too, Vijayendra was an aspirant for the Varuna constituency which was finally received by one other former CM’s son Yathindra Siddaramiah. Whilst CM Yediyurappa dismissed hypothesis that Vijayendra can be fielded from Basva Kalyan, the formidable son himself is extra cautious and says “will take up any duty given by the social gathering”.
For Vijayendra, the problem can be to proceed rising an identification exterior of his father Yediyurappa and on the identical time inherit his political mantle as a frontrunner of Lingayats and past. How profitable he’s on this journey would decide his political future.