Welcome to right now’s US election briefing for Australia.
New figures suggesting the US economic system bounced again within the third quarter of this yr gave Donald Trump a brand new speaking level within the closing days of the marketing campaign.
The economic system has lengthy been a robust go well with for Trump, a uncommon situation that voters belief him to deal with higher than Joe Biden, and it’s one he’s leaning into, even when surprisingly reluctantly, within the closing stretch. At rallies and on social media, he’s portraying Biden as a socialist who will elevate taxes and crush the economic system with environmental laws.
His workforce is aware of that is efficient floor for him. At a rally on Thursday, he mentioned advisers had been encouraging him to speak up the figures much more: “I imply what number of instances can I say it? I’ll say it 5 – 6 instances through the speech, 33.1,” he mentioned, referring to the US annualised GDP development within the second quarter of this monetary yr.
Large points stay within the economic system in fact, that are prone to be made worse by the resurgent virus. You may learn our full story on this right here.
Trump’s workforce apparently desires him to let up on one other core closing message, one the president appears far, much more energised by – accusing Biden and his son of being tied up in nebulous and unsubstantiated corruption allegations. “They’re calling me up, ‘Sir, you shouldn’t be talking about Hunter. You shouldn’t be saying unhealthy issues about Biden as a result of no one cares.’ I disagree,” he informed the gang.
I discover it shocking Biden isn’t campaigning extra strongly on an financial message on the shut right here – particularly given his and Obama’s document within the post-GFC restoration, and the backing his jobs plan has obtained from economists. As a substitute, he’s campaigning strongly on his potential to deal with the pandemic higher – a difficulty on which voters belief him greater than the president (and one undoubtably intertwined with the economic system). He’s additionally emphasising the thought the election is a “battle for the soul” of America, together with his presidency heralding a return to norms, beliefs and decency.
“That is our alternative to depart the darkish, indignant politics of the final 4 years behind us,” he says in a late TV advert. “To decide on hope over concern, unity over division, science over fiction.”
It’s a strong message however one which skirts a core precept of a previous profitable Democratic presidential marketing campaign – it’s the economic system, silly.
The large tales
The White Home coronavirus taskforce is warning of a persistent and broad unfold of Covid within the western half of the US, and its members have urged aggressive mitigation measures. Instances are rising in 47 states and sufferers are overwhelming hospitals.
The investigative journalist Glenn Greenwald has resigned abruptly from the Intercept, accusing the information web site he co-founded of in search of to censor him over a deliberate article about Biden.
Polls level to a Biden victory – however can they be trusted this time? This explainer seems at why the image is rosier for Democrats now than it was in 2016, however how Trump additionally nonetheless has a path to victory.
“To me it’s voter suppression.” This necessary piece seems on the Republican battle to restrict poll drop packing containers, a transfer forcing voters in cities equivalent to Houston (inhabitants four.7m) to drop their ballots at only one location.
Trump’s message of bringing again jobs resonated with employees – however after GM introduced it was closing a serious plant, some questioned why they voted for him. This characteristic takes you to the battleground state of Ohio.
Quote of the day
“The numbers are nearly nothing. As a result of we’ve obtained management of this factor.
“It doesn’t matter what Trump says, the headline GDP figures don’t present an economic system that has escaped the ravages of Covid-19,” writes Dominic Rushe. “Reasonably they illustrate, as soon as once more, how unfair the US economic system has turn into – particularly for poor individuals, minorities, girls and the younger.”
Video of the day
White evangelicals made up a key a part of Trump’s base in 2016, and the president is relying on that demographic turning out for him in large numbers once more to safe reelection. The Guardian travelled to North Carolina to satisfy them.
Across the net
“One month earlier than a purported leak of information from Hunter Biden’s laptop computer, a pretend ‘intelligence’ doc about him went viral on the right-wing web,” studies NBC. The writer of the doc, alleging an enormous conspiracy involving the youthful Biden, was a fabricated identification.
The Washington Publish has an excellent breakdown explaining the paths to victory for every candidate within the electoral faculty. Trump’s path, regardless of the polling, is believable, and must begin (as ever) with a Florida victory.
Can astrologers give us any perception into what is going to occur on election day? Completely, positively not! However did I learn this piece on The Minimize on what the planets say with all the identical enthusiasm that I checked my boyfriend’s compatibility on Co-Star after we first began courting? Sure, sure I did.
What the numbers say: 94%
The rise in Covid circumstances within the battleground state of Michigan in simply the final two weeks, with new circumstances averaging 2,566 per day, in response to the NYT. There have been 7,651 deaths within the state of almost 10 million individuals because the pandemic started.
Due to everybody who has signed as much as obtain this briefing as an electronic mail each weekday till the election. For those who’d like to hitch them, you possibly can join right here.